
Last December, the UK shocked the world with the announcement of a new variant of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus that seemed to spread faster than the original virus. That discovery was made possible by the COVID-19 Genomics UK Consortium, which had been sequencing viral samples to monitor the evolution of the virus. COG-UK, as it is known, is led by , who spoke to ¿ìè¶ÌÊÓÆµ about her research.
What were you working on before the pandemic kicked off?
I was working in Thailand in disease research until 2009. When I came back to the UK, it was clear to me that genome sequencing of bacteria and viruses was on the cusp of being accessible to scientists in general. So I invested in understanding sequencing and how to apply it. My first study was looking at how sequencing performed in an MRSA [superbug] outbreak on a paediatric intensive care unit.
At what point did you start thinking about sequencing the coronavirus?
I was having conversations about the need for sequencing in early March 2020. People knew the virus would change because that’s what happens. By about 15 March, 20 of us got together and said, how would we set up a national sequencing capability? And the answer was to throw a net over everybody who could do it and say, come and help us. So the public health agencies, Wellcome Sanger Institute and 16 sequencing hubs around the country did. We didn’t waste any time.
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Did everyone agree that sequencing was important?
Some people thought the virus wouldn’t change enough to make it useful. The virus changes quite slowly, there’s limited genetic diversity compared to some other pathogens. But we continued anyway. And when October 2020 came and [significant] variants started to emerge, that meant that we were in a very strong position compared to some countries that had to really scale up quite quickly.
And you are now handing routine sequencing over to the public health agencies?
Yes, that was always part of the plan. We will go back to being a research network. We’ve only just scratched the surface of what the [coronavirus] genome information is telling us. We’re trying to link it to other data sets – for example, human genome data. And we’re developing online learning modules in SARS-CoV-2 sequencing. We’re hoping that that’s going to contribute something important to a wider global ability.
With sequencing equipment more accessible than ever, how important is global training?
It’s vital. It’s not possible to just open up an Oxford Nanopore MinION [a tiny, cheap sequencer], squirt something in and expect to get good-quality data. You need to know how to ensure that the data that you get out at the end is high quality. And you also need to learn how to interpret the data.
At one point, the UK was sequencing more samples than the rest of the world combined. Why was the country so far ahead?
The US has sequenced more than us now, but yes, we can be proud of that. We started early. The [UK] government supported us, we got funding, we had the expertise in the network and equipment on the ground already. We also had a relatively connected healthcare system. In other places, testing is more fragmented, it’s quite difficult to link it up together. And there was also a huge sense of cooperation between people. ¿ìè¶ÌÊÓÆµs don’t generally want to share all their precious data before they’ve even looked at it, but that’s exactly what happened here.
How worrying is it that in a lot of countries there is still very little sequencing going on?
I am worried about that. You won’t know if new variants are emerging, you won’t be able to characterise them. Sequencing is an absolutely critical partner to vaccine roll-out and development.
We are in a situation now where one new variant after another emerges and starts to go global. Could this continue for some time?
Yes, I think it’s likely, but not entirely predictable when or where. Variants of concern emerge quite rarely, but when they do, can have a very significant effect. I think there’s going to be further evolution of the virus so that it’s either more transmissible or [can evade immunity], or both.
That sounds like bad news. Is the vaccine going to be enough?
I remain optimistic. We can still vaccinate against all the variants that we have at the moment, and new vaccines can be developed quite quickly. Part of reducing the risk of new variants evolving is to drive down rates of infection because the virus can only mutate if it gets an opportunity to spread from one person to another and replicate. So global vaccination is the absolutely central answer to controlling variants.
So far, by the time we have established that variants of concern are more dangerous, they have already spread around the world. Can we do better?
I think there’s two questions there. One is: can you ever stop a variant in its tracks when you find it? I don’t know of any instance where a variant has emerged and we purposely eradicated it. Evolution is against you if something emerges that’s fitter than the previous variants. The second is: can you get quicker at reaching the level of evidence you need to pull the ripcord, if a variant is more transmissible for example. The thing that takes the time is not the sequencing, but looking to see whether something is transmitting more than something else, or if it causes more severe disease or not.
What things about the coronavirus do you think people need to know?
We will need to learn to live with the virus. The other thing is that when a new variant is described, often all the alarm bells start ringing. But at the time, you don’t really know enough to be able to say whether it’s important or not.
What’s this year been like for you personally?
It’s been a huge privilege to be able to contribute. I think COG-UK has been a brilliant success, and it’s a very large number of people that have made that happen. Like [it has been for] many other people, it’s been really rather exhausting.
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