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Mars’s moon Phobos may someday turn back into a ring around the planet

Mars’s moon Phobos may go through cycles where it is smashed up and becomes a ring around the planet, only to coalesce into a solid moon again
Phobos (foreground), a moon of Mars, may be in a cycle of smashing up into a ring around the planet
NASA/JPL-Caltech/GSFC/Univ. of Arizona

It is dust to dust for Mars’s moon Phobos. There is new evidence that the misshapen little moon has repeatedly gone through a cycle of being smashed up and then spread into a ring around Mars before coalescing into a solid moon again.

This ring-moon cycle was proposed in 2017, and new simulations by Matija Ćuk at the SETI Institute in Mountain View, California, and his colleagues show that such a cycle for Phobos may have forced Mars’s other moon, Deimos, into the orbit it occupies now. Ćuk presented this work at a virtual meeting of the American Astronomical Society on 2 June.

Deimos orbits Mars in a near-perfect circle, but its path is tilted by two degrees, and astronomers haven’t been able to figure out why. “Two degrees doesn’t seem like much, but for this kind of thing it’s a lot – moon systems tend to be pretty flat,” says Ćuk.

His team’s simulations showed that if Phobos used to be much larger – about 20 times as massive as it is now – its gravity could have dragged Deimos onto its current path and caused that orbital tilt. The simulations suggest that Phobos could have been this big two cycles ago.

After tilting Deimos’ orbit, this massive proto-Phobos would have fallen towards Mars until it got so close that it was ripped apart by the planet’s gravity, with some of the debris falling to the surface and some forming a ring around the Red Planet. Then, over time, some of the dust and pebbles of the ring could clump together and eventually go on to form a new, smaller moon.

“It’s a cycle,” says Ćuk. “The moon forms a ring and the ring forms a moon.” Two of these cycles would give us the Phobos we see today, which was a ring for almost 2 billion years before becoming a moon again, according to Ćuk. If that is actually what happened, Phobos may fall apart and become a ring again in about 40 million years, he says.

To test this theory, we have to figure out how old these moons are. “While Deimos might be old, about 4 billion years or so, Phobos should be much younger,” says Ćuk. “It was put back together only a couple of hundred million years ago.” The Japanese space agency is planning a mission to Phobos in 2024 that will return samples of the moon, so we may have our answer within the next decade.

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Topics: Mars / Moons