快猫短视频

Against the collective

Should we care what happens to people a thousand years from now?

A RADICAL overhaul of the international safety regime governing radiation
would give the nuclear industry a licence to pollute the seas and air, warn
scientists. It might mean a worldwide rise in cancers in the long term.

The International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP), the world
advisory body based in Stockholm, Sweden, wants to make big changes to the way
safety levels are decided for people exposed to radiation from nuclear plants,
industrial sources and medical X-rays. But its plans, outlined for the first
time last week, have already fallen foul of experts who see no reason to change
the system agreed in 1990.

That system relies on measuring the 鈥渃ollective dose鈥 of radiation received
by large populations of people over extremely long time periods. Some regulators
believe this is important because it means they can estimate the worldwide
cancer risk from releasing radioactive isotopes into the environment with
half-lives of thousands of years
(快猫短视频, 24 March, p 17).

But the ICRP says that the notion of collective dose has proved 鈥渦nsuitable鈥.
Often it covers the threat posed by radiation to the entire world population for
the rest of time. Instead, the 17-member commission is thinking of introducing a
鈥済roup鈥 or 鈥渨orkforce鈥 dose limited to measuring the exposure of smaller numbers
of people over shorter timescales, though it hasn鈥檛 yet specified how many or
how long.

This amounts to 鈥渁 green light to continuing pollution鈥, according to Ian
Fairlie, a consultant in environmental radioactivity who has worked for
regulatory agencies and anti-nuclear groups. Under the new system, it may be
possible to quantify the risk to a few specific individuals from radioactive
waste pumped into the sea, for example. But it doesn鈥檛 take into account the
risk of more cancers in the population sometime in the future. 鈥淭his sits
uneasily with growing awareness about the effects of radiation on the
environment,鈥 Fairlie says.

Britain鈥檚 advisory Committee on the Medical Aspects of Radiation in the
Environment (COMARE) has also told ICRP that it would be 鈥渧ery reluctant鈥 to
abandon collective dose. COMARE chairman Bryn Bridges says the concept gives
governments and the public an estimate of how future health will be affected by
radioactivity鈥攂ut he thinks the collective dose should cover just 500
years.

ICRP points out that the current system is founded on the risk that ionising
radiation poses to society as a whole. It wants to shift this to a regime that
concentrates on an individual鈥檚 risk. But for the moment it is not planning to
abandon the underlying assumption that any level of exposure to radiation,
however small, carries a potential risk.

ICRP chairman, Roger Clarke, denies the new system would be a licence to
pollute because it would reduce the radiation doses of the most exposed groups
of individuals. It will also make it simpler to enforce safety limits鈥10
different limits, as well as collective doses, are in operation at the moment,
he says. 鈥淭he proposal is to try and rationalise this complex and widely
misunderstood system.鈥

But radiation scientists defend the existing system. 鈥淚f it ain鈥檛 broke,
don鈥檛 fix it,鈥 says Geoffrey Webb, president of the International Radiation
Protection Association.

  • More at:
    Journal of Radiological Protection (vol 21, p 113)

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